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October 2007

October 31, 2007

Star Endorses Republican Council

The Indianapolis Star finished up its endorsements of City-County Council races today. While some may say the endorsements in some races are wishful thinking, anything can happen in this environment.

If the Star had its way, the City-County Council would be 16-13 in favor of the GOP:

  • At-Large: Rozelle Boyd (D)
  • At-Large: Ron Gibson (D)
  • At-Large: Joanne Sanders (D)
  • At-Large: Kent Smith (R)
  • District 1: Bruce Henry (R)
  • District 2: Angela Mansfield (D)
  • District 3: Ryan Vaughn (R)
  • District 4: Carey Hamilton (D)
  • District 5: Ginny Cain (R)
  • District 6: Janice Shattuck McHenry (R)
  • District 7: Cherrish Pryor (D)
  • District 8: Kurt Webber (R)
  • District 9: Jackie Nytes (D)
  • District 10: William Oliver (D)
  • District 11: Paul Bateman (D)
  • District 12: Mike McQuillen (R)
  • District 13: Robert Lutz (R)
  • District 14: Marilyn Pfisterer (R)
  • District 15: Andre Carson (D)
  • District 16: Scott Keller (R)
  • District 17: Mary Moriarty Adams (D)
  • District 18: Vernon Brown (D)
  • District 19: Dane Mahern (D)
  • District 20: Susie Day (R)
  • District 21: Ben Hunter (R)
  • District 22: Bob Cockrum (R)
  • District 23: Jeff Cardwell (R)
  • District 24: Mike Speedy (R)
  • District 25: Lincoln Plowman (R)

October 30, 2007

Mike O'Connor gets something right

Commenting to WTHR's Mary Milz yesterday regarding the GOP's call for Proposal 182 to pass and their launch of www.monroegray.com, Marion County Democratic Party Chairman Mike O'Connor said this:

"It's eight days before the election and people who are desperate do desperate things."

Mike, you are absolutely right. It is why 14 members of the Democrat Caucus threw Monroe Gray under the bus and voted to investigate him.

Bart Peterson won't touch Monroe Gray with a ten foot pole. The Democrat Councilors repeatedly called the investigation proposal politically motivated. O'Connor called the GOP move "disappointing, but not surprising." Yet, the Democratic Caucus unanimously decided to make Monroe abstain and vote in favor of investigating him. Why?

Because the Dems on council can feel the heat. After voting for Peterson's income tax hike, the caucus already had many members in tight races. But the GOP effectively used Monroe Gray as a wedge issue to their advantage. The Gray website singled out the Dems who ended up moving to put the investigation back on the agenda and amended the proposal to be even more bipartisan.

The GOP called them out. Them Dems responded by doing exactly what the GOP asked. Which Party is the desperate one?

October 29, 2007

UPDATE: Gray Investigation Moves Forward

City-County Council just passed Proposal 182, which creates an investigative committee of Council President Monroe Gray, by a vote of 28-0. Gray recused himself from voting.

GOP launches monroegray.com

The Indianapolis Star reports that Marion County Republicans are renewing their efforts  to investigate Council President Monroe Gray. They launched a website today, www.monroegray.com, which asks constituents to contact their Councilor and vote for the proposal to investigate Gray. The site seems to single out four Democrat Councilors: Dane Mahern, Sherron Franklin, Angela Mansfield, and Mary Moriarty Adams. Stay tuned to see what happens at tonight's Council meeting.

October 28, 2007

Lawrence: Cantwell gets hosed by Fire Union

It was not very surprising when Republican Paul Ricketts was endorsed by the Fraternal Order of Police last month over incumbent Democratic Mayor Deborah Cantwell. Cantwell, a former Lawrence Township firefighter, probably hoped for a split in the pubic safety endorsements (as has many times become custom with GOP candidates getting the FOP endorsement and Dems getting the Fire endorsements). That will not be the case.

Last week, Lawrence Professional Local 416, the union of which Cantwell was a member, endorsed her opponent Ricketts for Mayor. It now looks like Cantwell's campaign rests on the Water Company deal, which according to this morning's Indianapolis Star, the settlement of which was not agreed to by all parties. A week and a half away, this race will be interesting.

October 25, 2007

Beth White: City-County Employees Should Vote Early

A reader who works at the CC Building sent us the below note they received from Marion County Clerk Beth White.

The e-mail was sent using the government e-mail system. Note that Indianapolis employees have Election Day off work. Why would they need to vote early then? Either BEth White and the Democrats failed miserably at recruiting poll workers and had to use city employees, or Election Day '07 is the day to repay employee patronage. Either way, something stinks in Beth White's office.

From: Administrator, Exchange
Sent: Tuesday, October 23, 2007 6:06 PM
To: Administrator, Exchange
Subject: Absentee Voting Information

Attention City-County Employees,

VOTE ABSENTEE EARLY AND AVOID THE RUSH

The Monday before Election Day it is always the busiest for walk-in absentee voting.   Please take advantage of your opportunity to vote absentee early.  For your convenience the Clerk’s Office in CCB room W122 is open the following hours.

Absentee Voting - Hours

Tuesday, Oct. 9th, through Friday, Nov. 2nd — 8:00AM - 5:00PM

Saturday, Oct. 27th — 10:00AM - 5:00PM

Saturday, Nov. 3rd   — 10:00AM - 5:00PM

Sunday, Nov. 4th       — 11:00AM - 5:00PM

Monday, Nov. 5th      — 8:00AM - 12 noon

Regards,

Elizabeth L. White,

Marion

County

Clerk

October 24, 2007

Governor Daniels' Address on Tax Relief

From the Governor's adress to Hoosiers last night:

"Good evening.

"For the last few months, no subject has been on my mind, or the mind of most Hoosiers, as much as property taxes.  In almost every county, some homeowners were hit with huge increases; in some counties, it seemed almost everyone got a big jump.  Assessments were inconsistent and often grossly unfair.  It is not acceptable that any citizen cannot afford to keep the home they may have worked all their lives to buy.  The status quo is not tolerable and we must act to fix it.

"Several causes combined to produce this situation.   Back in the ‘90s, courts ordered a change to assessments based on market prices.  In 2002, the legislature repealed the inventory property tax on business, and switched from reassessment once a decade to once a year, or “trending”.  And, the biggest factor of all, total local spending on schools, libraries, school construction, and other services has continued growing faster than taxpayers’ incomes.  When that happens, property taxes can only go up.

"We’ve been here before.  Repeatedly over the last 35 years, state government has tried to help out.  State taxes have been raised and the money used to subsidize local budgets and reduce property taxes.  By now, 85% of school operating costs are paid for by our state taxes, not our property taxes.  Half the sales tax, 3 cents out of 6, is sent back to support local government, or your property taxes would be far higher than they already are.

"What we do next must learn from this history, because the old approach has not worked.  In every case, a few years later our state taxes were higher and our property taxes were, too.  It only took 5 years this time.

"I have looked at every option for change.  I have talked with Hoosiers all over the state.  I have studied Indiana’s past approaches to this issue and the attempts of other states to deal with their own problems.  When Indiana acts this time, and act we must, our steps must be fair, far-reaching, and final. 

"I have prepared and will recommend to the legislature a proposal to cut every homeowner’s property taxes sharply and cap them forever, at no more than one per cent of a home’s true value.  This last provision must be added to the state’s constitution to ensure its permanence, and guarantee that no Hoosier ever again pays more than a penny on the dollar of their home’s value.

"We can lower the average Hoosier property tax bill by more than a third by removing forever the rest of school operating costs, and the cost of protecting abused and neglected children, from the local to the state level.  Immediate relief should be provided to every homeowner on the May ’08 bills, and the full 1% ceiling protection put in place by 2009. 

"We can fund this reform through a one-cent increase in the sales tax, and by using a small share of the surplus we have restored to the state budget these last three years.

"Before settling on the cut and cap approach, I looked hard at the idea of totally eliminating property taxes in our state.  Much as I would like to have taken that route, the risks to our schools, to small business, and to our economy generally, dissuaded me.  In particular, I could not support the large increase in personal income taxes, paid by every Hoosier worker and most small businesses, which would be necessary for total elimination.

"Any plan that makes a real difference in property taxation will have to go to its root cause, and that is excessive spending.  Total local spending on school construction, libraries, fire departments, and all other local services simply cannot keep rising faster than Hoosier incomes.

"To achieve better discipline while preserving local control, we must have single-point accountability for spending. Today, no one is responsible; each local taxing district sets its budget and sends you its part of the bill, which is only added up when it hits your mailbox.  The County Tax Board in each county must accept the duty of reviewing the total of local spending plans and trimming those budgets as needed to keep our taxes down.

"As further protection against overspending, we should strengthen taxpayers’ direct say in local decisions, especially the borrowing for new schools and other construction which has been the biggest driver of property tax increases.  I will propose that any significant new capital project, or any spending in excess of the growth in local income, must be approved by voter referendum. 

"Next, we must protect other property taxpayers from being exploited.  I will propose hard ceilings, with no exceptions and no loopholes, of 2% for rental properties and 3% for other businesses, also written into our constitution.

"Finally, our unfair and unfixable assessment system must go.  I will propose the elimination of all political assessors and the appointment by each County Council of a single, qualified and certified assessor to oversee trained professionals in conducting future appraisals. 

"Immediate relief for every homeowner; a one per cent permanent cap on every homeowner’s taxes; an end to unfair and inaccurate assessments; real limits on local spending.  As bold as these changes would be, I am very optimistic of achieving them, especially if you will help. 

"In the last 3 years, we have already solved problems like the state government deficit and the state highway shortfall that people said would take years or were simply impossible.  We can solve this one, too, and open a new era of opportunity in which Indiana is the nation’s leader in defending and promoting the American dream of home ownership.

"Thank you and good night."

October 23, 2007

Gary Varvel's "Bartman"

Check out this latest video.

More on Peterson and Monroe Gray

WRTV's  Norm Cox wrote this last week after participating in the Station's Mayoral Debate:

What does a politician do when faced with a question he doesn’t want to answer?  He answers another question, of course.  A related question, but not the one asked.  It’s a technique as old as the hills, one passed down to Mayor Bart Peterson by his mentor, Evan Bayh, and he used it to perfection in the RTV-6 mayoral debate Wednesday night.

"After the obligatory questions on property taxes and police issues, I asked the mayor the one question to which I knew he wouldn’t want to give a straight answer: the Monroe Gray Question.  Does he think the various ethics issues involving Gray’s concrete company getting city contracts, his questionable job (but with a real salary) with the Fire Department, and his efforts to quash any investigation into his dealings merit Gray’s removal as Council President?  Note, I didn’t ask if he should be removed from his council seat, just the presidency.

"Peterson, of course, jumped to the question I didn’t ask.  No, no, that’s not his decision, he said.  It’s up to the voters in Gray’s district to decide if he returns to council.  As mayor, he won’t get involved in that.

"Well, yes, but the mayor can get involved in the selection of his own party’s leadership on the council.  He just doesn’t want to.  Nor does he want to endanger his agenda by offending the person likely to be leading the council again in the new year."

October 22, 2007

Are we two weeks away from a Ballard upset?

Chalk this up to the unattributable (Hat Tip: Indy Undercover), but supposedly Bart Peterson's internal polls have his lead over Republican Greg Ballard down to only three points and within the statistical margin of error.

Of course, if you pay attention to any mainstream media, these numbers seem illogical. How can Ballard have closed the gap?:

  • Debates: The line of attack previous to the round of October debates was that Ballard was a Malcontent who had no ideas of his own and would crumble in the wake of Peterson's superior knowledge. Well, that never happened. Ballard has held his own with Peterson in the televised debates, and Peterson has been rattled by voter discontent during non-televised town halls. Ballard has been able to contrast his ideas with Peterson's, so the race never became the mayor vs. an empty suit. Further, Peterson has come off more smarmy than as a gifted policy debater. The cumulative effect is that more people who are unhappy with Peterson can see Ballard as a mayor, a big hurdle for any challenger.
  • Peterson's TV Ads: Much of the media's coverage of this Mayoral Race has been devoted to money. Peterson has millions, Ballard has none with which to mount a paid media campaign. Thus Peterson has controlled the TV commercials, but he has not been without straw-man. When your candidate has no ads, your ads get compared to reality. Peterson's ads to date have tried to portray him as the Mayor of a thriving city, in control of crime, working to reduce property taxes, and creating jobs for the working man. Unfortunately for Peterson, the Public perception of Indianapolis' state of affairs is government can't control taxes, crime is out of control as well. While Indianapolis has been thriving, the public has not bought en masse the argument that Peterson deserves the credit. Peterson may have the money to be on TV 24/7, but one could argue he has been unable to use that to his advantage.
  • Property Tax Anger: The Peterson fiscal strategy this year has been this: continue your enacting your policies, find ways to fund them, and the great things they buy will send you to a third term. In short, the public should have forgotten about property and income tax hikes by Election Day. This has been Peterson's main miscalculation. Peterson has defended city spending and his tax hikes, calling them necessary. But the public has not seen return for their tax dollars. Combine smaller paychecks in October from income tax hikes and another round of property tax bills, reminding families of the third bill to come next year, Peterson failed to manage the fiscal situation politically. Voters are still made they are paying more taxes, and they are seeing nothing in return. Bad mix for Peterson.
  • Ballard's "New Car Smell": Essentially, what can you go negative on Greg Ballard? The only possible roads are experience and hypocrisy. Ballard is not essentially hurt by the lack of experience, because he emphasizes his non-politician status and and his military career. Peterson can focus on his experience, but his record is then open for debate. One could argue Ballard has not put forward intellectually whole statements and plans, but again, his foil is Peterson, for which the same could be argued. Ballard is not in the Teflon Category, but he is in the New Car Category. As long as he continues to show he is no "lemon," more people will continue to buy.

With the exception of the October Debates, these dynamics have been in place since the summer, when Peterson's lead in the polls was nearly 40 points. The only dynamic that could change is Peterson running an effective TV ad, which he has yet to do given polling trends. It things remain static, Ballard should surprise the mainstream media and pull off a close defeat of Bart (and Fred) Peterson.